Quantifying memory and persistence in the atmosphere–land and ocean carbon system
10 March 2022
The authors interpret carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuel burning and land use as a global stress–strain experiment to reflect the overall behavior of the atmosphere–land and ocean system in response to increasing CO2 emissions since 1850. The system has been trapped progressively in terms of persistence, while its ability to build up memory has been reduced. The authors expect system failures globally well before 2050 if the current trend in emissions is not reversed immediately and sustainably.
The press release by the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) can be found at: https://iiasa.ac.at/news/mar-2022/we-are-running-out-of-time-to-counteract-global-change
Contact: Matthias Jonas (jonas@iiasa.ac.at)
