ESD cover
Chief editors: Ira Didenkulova, Axel Kleidon & Gabriele Messori
eISSN: 2190-4987

Earth System Dynamics (ESD) is a not-for-profit international scientific journal dedicated to the publication and public discussion of studies that take an interdisciplinary perspective on the functioning of the Earth system and global change. The overall behaviour of the Earth system is strongly shaped by the interactions among its various component systems, such as the atmosphere, cryosphere, hydrosphere, oceans, pedosphere, and the lithosphere, but also by life and increasingly by human activity. ESD solicits contributions that investigate these various interactions and the underlying mechanisms, ways how these can be conceptualized, modelled, and quantified, predictions of the overall system behaviour to global changes, and the impacts for its habitability, humanity, and the future functioning of the Earth system in the Anthropocene.

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ESD is indexed in the Web of Science, Scopus, Google Scholar, etc. We refrain from displaying the journal metrics prominently on the landing page since citation metrics used in isolation do not describe importance, impact, or quality of a journal. However, these metrics can be found on the journal metrics page.

Highlight articles

29 Jun 2026
Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth's energy imbalance
Kyriaki Bimpiri, Thomas Hocking, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 877–892, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026, 2026
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19 Jun 2026
Chaotic fluctuations in Greenland ice streams limit predictability of ice sheet collapse
Kolja Kypke, Marisa Montoya, Alexander Robinson, Jorge Alvarez-Solas, Jan Swierczek-Jereczek, and Peter Ditlevsen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 769–794, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-769-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-769-2026, 2026
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12 Jun 2026
Atmospheric river trajectories organise along a global transport network
Tobias Braun, Sara M. Vallejo-Bernal, Norbert Marwan, Juergen Kurths, Johannes Quaas, Albert Díaz-Guilera, Luis Gimeno, and Miguel D. Mahecha
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 695–716, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-695-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-695-2026, 2026
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08 May 2026
Developing Guidelines for working with Multi-Model Ensembles in CMIP
Anja Katzenberger, Jhayron S. Pérez-Carrasquilla, Keighan Gemmell, Evgenia Galytska, Christine Leclerc, Punya P, Indrani Roy, Arianna Varuolo-Clarke, Milica Tošić, and Nina Črnivec
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 495–532, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-495-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-495-2026, 2026
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06 May 2026
Quantification of the influence of anthropogenic and natural factors on the record-high temperatures in 2023 and 2024
Endre Z. Farago, Laura A. McBride, Brian F. Bennett, Austin P. Hope, Timothy P. Canty, and Ross J. Salawitch
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 451–474, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-451-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-451-2026, 2026
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Recent papers

30 Jun 2026
Northern high latitudes could become a net carbon source below 2 °C global warming
Rebecca M. Varney, Daniel Hooke, Norman J. Steinert, T. Luke Smallman, Camilla Mathison, and Eleanor J. Burke
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 913–928, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-913-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-913-2026, 2026
Short summary
29 Jun 2026
| Highlight paper
Climate models with moderate climate sensitivity best simulate the magnitude of Earth's energy imbalance
Kyriaki Bimpiri, Thomas Hocking, and Thorsten Mauritsen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 877–892, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-877-2026, 2026
Short summary Editorial statement
29 Jun 2026
Overshoot and (ir)reversibility to 2300 in two CO2-emissions driven Earth System models
Chris Smith, Lennart Ramme, Christopher D. Wells, Ada Gjermundsen, Hongmei Li, Tatiana Ilyina, Adakudlu Muralidhar, Timothée Bourgeois, Jörg Schwinger, Alejandro Romero-Prieto, Chao Li, and Cecilie Mauritzen
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 893–911, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-893-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-893-2026, 2026
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26 Jun 2026
Regional impacts of irrigation on the atmospheric and terrestrial water cycle of the Iberian Peninsula in a climate model
Pierre Tiengou, Agnès Ducharne, and Frédérique Cheruy
Earth Syst. Dynam., 17, 843–876, https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-843-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-17-843-2026, 2026
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26 Jun 2026
To tip or not to tip
Reyk Börner and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3507,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3507, 2026
Preprint under review for ESD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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News

30 Jun 2026 The Norwegian University of Science and Technology partners with Copernicus Publications to support open-access publishing

Copernicus Publications has signed a new institutional agreement with Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU). Please read more.

30 Jun 2026 The Norwegian University of Science and Technology partners with Copernicus Publications to support open-access publishing

Copernicus Publications has signed a new institutional agreement with Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU). Please read more.

23 Jun 2026 ESD Editors of the Year 2025

ESD is pleased to announce the recipients of the ESD Editor of the Year 2025 distinction. Please read more.

23 Jun 2026 ESD Editors of the Year 2025

ESD is pleased to announce the recipients of the ESD Editor of the Year 2025 distinction. Please read more.

15 Jun 2026 The NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research partners with Copernicus Publications to support open-access publishing

Copernicus Publications is delighted to announce a new institutional agreement with NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Please read more.

15 Jun 2026 The NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research partners with Copernicus Publications to support open-access publishing

Copernicus Publications is delighted to announce a new institutional agreement with NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). Please read more.

Notice on APC invoices

In accordance with current European restrictions, Copernicus Publications does not step into business relations with and issue APC invoices (articles processing charges) to Russian and Belarusian institutions. The peer-review process and scientific exchange of our journals including preprint posting is not affected. However, these restrictions require that the first contact (contractual partner of Copernicus) has an affiliation and invoice address outside Russia or Belarus.